www.patreon.com/mkkracing
I have been running three models since the beginning of January. The tips I provide here are from the most successful model.
What I have observed is the model that picks horses that have never won before and have long odds is the most successful.
In reverse order, since 1st April, with each model started with £1,000
- Model 3 – Backing horses to win has lost 29%. AI doesn’t know everything when it comes to picking horses.
- Model 2 – Laying horses either a high probability of losing that are 2nd, 3rd or 4th favourite, so have shorted odds which means more profit, is 6% down.
- Model 1 – Laying horses that have never won before and meet other criteria is 11% up since 1st April.
Model 1 is the Tortoise and Model 2 is the Hare. The tortoise has picked 112 losers (98.2%) and just 2 winners (1.75%). It’s slow, steady and plods along, picking up small profits for each horse it chooses.
Model 2 is the Hare. The profits and losses each day swing much more wildly, picking 142 losers (82.1% and 31 winners (17.92%)/ Like the fable, the profits race up then crash down.
Over the same period, the Tortoise model is by far the better model. Those are the tips I give you every day and use myself, gambling my own money.
Just though, you might be interested in the logic behind some of the models.
I have run the Tortoise model three times. The first time for six months as a paper exercise to test it. It made a profit. In 2023, I ran it with real money and it made a profit, but then I was made redundant and needed the gambling money to pay bills. Now I am doing it for a 3rd time, using real money again and again, the risk levels, the average earnings and the trajectory of the bank balance going up, is consistent across all three times I ran the model.
So, we are firmly on Team Tortoise. Slow and steady. Get rich slow.